In the beginning of 2021, we doubted about our ability to provide any trend analysis for the parliamentary election 2021. A huge number of available polls made it possible to prepare a trend election model, even it is not based on comparisons with previous election results. According to our latest analysis, five subjects tend to pass the threshold: ANO 2011 as the most probable winner (roughly 24 %), SPOLU coalition as the second best (22 %), Pirates and STAN (15 %), SPD (12,5 %), ČSSD (6 %) and possibly also Přísaha (5 %). All remaining parties tend to stay below the 5 % threshold which means the communists would not be represented in the lower chamber for the first time since 1989.
Posted in Actualities.